Pbm7
0x75ca3c19ead179af2b88893c3ff6c49e348f7f1b
- Realised P&L
- $-13.0k
- Volume
- $299.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $504.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.050 | $504.57 | −$38.46 |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) · Germany | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$420.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Spread: Seahawks (-20.5) · Seahawks | 0.209 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Giants vs. Rams · Giants | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.4k |
| Spread: Seahawks (-21.5) · Seahawks | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$699.99 |
| Commanders vs. 49ers · Commanders | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$399.99 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will the Texans win the AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.2k |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.607Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$4.1kat 0.685Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.3kat 0.690Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$1.1kat 0.587Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
- +$-3.78at 0.074Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:49 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:49 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:49 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:49 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:49 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:49 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:48 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:48 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0718371255 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:48 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0709999998 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:48 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0709658071 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 18:36 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0869584176 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 18:10 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.1144394615 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 18:10 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.1012012143 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 18:10 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0692446043 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.0506541934 | $7.74 |