EllAD
0x75c9e3743ff46ac84f3971529be49d204643a68c
- Realised P&L
- $5.37
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $5.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21? · No | 0.998 | 0.991 | $5.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.51at 0.630Thunder vs. Rockets
- +$3.47at 0.749Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 13-19?
- +$0.72at 0.850Mavericks vs. Hornets
- +$0.07at 0.993Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 02:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9979998413 | $6.00 |
| 05-28 05:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 05:37 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.29 |
| 05-28 02:27 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.30 |
| 04-16 09:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $6.88 |
| 03-31 02:21 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.09 |
| 03-17 05:42 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.992999921 | $10.42 |
| 03-11 06:50 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $14.19 |
| 03-04 08:59 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.21 |
| 03-03 08:16 | Mavericks vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.8499999793 | $4.10 |
| 01-22 09:25 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open? | SELL | 0.9911557309 | $190.94 |
| 01-22 07:23 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.992 | $191.10 |
| 01-22 07:20 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $247.32 |