0x75c5ca187326c97e7ac0fa6c69a5d7401316870f
- Realised P&L
- $-15.35
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $20.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.29at 0.003Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.03at 0.809Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.050Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
- +$0.68at 0.026Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.49at 0.930Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:01 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 15:48 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 05:39 | Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.11 |
| 09-16 20:07 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.02 |
| 09-16 14:31 | Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.12 |
| 09-16 14:13 | Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.769999672 | $1.08 |
| 09-16 04:00 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.23 |
| 09-14 09:08 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.30 |
| 09-14 09:08 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.30 |
| 09-13 02:34 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.02 |
| 09-12 18:03 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399995688 | $1.09 |
| 09-12 18:02 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.40 |
| 09-08 19:40 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.08 |
| 09-08 19:40 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.08 |
| 09-07 14:22 | Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.08 |