o909430
0x75b23fdec45e1c8283bed79f38bd8f7e9d26a238
- Realised P&L
- $-8.41
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $88.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $44.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will BNB dip to $300 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $30.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · No | 0.996 | 0.993 | $13.15 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.51at 0.937Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$0.54at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
- +$0.38at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$0.30at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
- +$0.29at 0.996Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 13:36 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.00 |
| 09-20 13:36 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.20 |
| 09-20 13:35 | Will BNB dip to $300 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.00 |
| 08-23 13:00 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.40 |
| 08-23 12:58 | Will Solana dip to $20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.56 |
| 08-23 12:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.06 |
| 07-05 13:25 | Will Solana reach $160 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $59.54 |
| 07-05 13:24 | Will Solana dip to $10 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $38.00 |
| 07-05 13:24 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.50 |
| 07-05 13:22 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on July 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.00 |
| 06-16 13:19 | Will XRP reach $1.70 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.998 | $44.10 |
| 06-16 13:18 | Will XRP reach $1.80 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.30 |
| 06-16 13:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9979999907 | $58.00 |
| 06-16 13:13 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.40 |
| 05-11 07:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $61.19 |