katrinaturner
0x75977ecf6951a0c361056a6096fa8800ac0f9efd
- Realised P&L
- $-13.53
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $63.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies · India | 0.640 | 1.000 | $39.78 | +$14.32 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13? · No | 0.610 | 0.440 | $23.42 | −$9.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.53at 0.850Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?
- +$0.20at 0.990Will Solana reach $250 in April?
- +$0.19at 0.990Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?
- +$0.16at 0.993Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.15at 0.987Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:17 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.83 |
| 01-31 13:49 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999547 | $20.07 |
| 01-30 14:19 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.24 |
| 01-30 12:41 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.06 |
| 01-30 12:36 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $46.32 |
| 12-30 11:09 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $2.25 |
| 12-30 09:55 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.04 |
| 12-30 09:31 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999621 | $7.91 |
| 12-30 09:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.94 |
| 12-29 21:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.79 |
| 12-29 21:40 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999924 | $43.58 |
| 10-31 15:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 18:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.39 |
| 09-29 19:07 | Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.53 |
| 09-29 16:40 | Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999429 | $14.76 |