PolyBot

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Traders

kirajd

0x7591974b1e1e62960b8364fc6391ebe346354e68

Realised P&L
$-28.45
Volume
$46.8k
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$167.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PP win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.6600.640$24.24−$0.76
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? · Yes0.5400.510$23.61−$1.39
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? · No0.5200.490$23.56−$1.44
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026? · Yes0.7800.765$22.18−$0.43
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? · Yes0.3540.448$21.30+$4.45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more? · No0.4900.560$16.93+$2.12
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.2700.285$16.57+$0.87
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.5500.595$10.20+$0.77
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 750,000 and 800,000? · Yes0.1100.115$5.32+$0.23
Will Debra Toporowski win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · No0.5700.825$3.08+$0.95
Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$0.88
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$5.70
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$7.98
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:09Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 750,000 and 800,000?BUY0.11$5.09
11-01 05:30Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?SELL0.969$26.33
10-31 20:56Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?SELL0.72$12.10
10-31 08:17Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?BUY0.52$25.00
10-30 22:22Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?BUY0.54$25.00
10-30 09:33Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.5$6.78
10-29 22:51Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?BUY0.354$16.85
10-29 22:35Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026?BUY0.78$22.62
10-29 22:20Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?SELL0.36$8.04
10-28 14:45Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?SELL0.6458173357$22.20
10-28 01:48Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?SELL0.75$13.21
10-27 22:45Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?SELL0.505466893$17.86
10-27 17:07Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?BUY0.55$18.91
10-27 16:37Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?SELL0.481$16.97
10-27 16:37Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?SELL0.67$14.25