kirajd
0x7591974b1e1e62960b8364fc6391ebe346354e68
- Realised P&L
- $-28.45
- Volume
- $46.8k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $167.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.09at 0.247Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$19.41at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 15?
- +$6.53at 0.500Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?
- +$6.00at 0.460Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?
- +$5.22at 0.657Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:09 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 750,000 and 800,000? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.09 |
| 11-01 05:30 | Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.969 | $26.33 |
| 10-31 20:56 | Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $12.10 |
| 10-31 08:17 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? | BUY | 0.52 | $25.00 |
| 10-30 22:22 | Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | BUY | 0.54 | $25.00 |
| 10-30 09:33 | Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.5 | $6.78 |
| 10-29 22:51 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? | BUY | 0.354 | $16.85 |
| 10-29 22:35 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $22.62 |
| 10-29 22:20 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $8.04 |
| 10-28 14:45 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.6458173357 | $22.20 |
| 10-28 01:48 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? | SELL | 0.75 | $13.21 |
| 10-27 22:45 | Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? | SELL | 0.505466893 | $17.86 |
| 10-27 17:07 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.55 | $18.91 |
| 10-27 16:37 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.481 | $16.97 |
| 10-27 16:37 | Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure? | SELL | 0.67 | $14.25 |