PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x758fe5bFB4989226c0CaF58D3F8D87EAB9636F6F-1775096667712

0x758fe5bfb4989226c0caf58d3f8d87eab9636f6f

Realised P&L
$-24.31
Volume
$21.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$1.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.8300.825$1.08−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8PM ET · Down0.0680.000$0.00−$16.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 02:41Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?BUY0.8299993756$1.09
09-02 23:48Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.92$1.93
08-15 04:30Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9769868183$1.89
07-17 00:58Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9919998048$1.87
06-07 01:19Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.9299999737$1.06
06-07 01:18Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9379999561$1.11
06-07 01:18Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9809999965$2.24
05-08 02:24Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 9?BUY0.997$1.02
05-08 02:24Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?BUY0.9299999912$2.11
05-08 02:23Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$4.45
04-07 04:36Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.9729999968$2.10
04-07 02:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ETBUY0.999$299.66
04-07 02:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ETBUY0.999$299.66
04-07 02:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ETBUY0.998$262.31
04-07 02:54Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ETBUY0.998$299.31