0x758fe5bFB4989226c0CaF58D3F8D87EAB9636F6F-1775096667712
0x758fe5bfb4989226c0caf58d3f8d87eab9636f6f
- Realised P&L
- $-24.31
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $1.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.825 | $1.08 | −$0.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9PM ET · Up | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8PM ET · Down | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.60at 0.994Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ET
- +$2.00at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7AM ET
- +$0.16at 0.923Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
- +$0.15at 0.933Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
- +$0.08at 0.932Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 02:41 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.8299993756 | $1.09 |
| 09-02 23:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.93 |
| 08-15 04:30 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9769868183 | $1.89 |
| 07-17 00:58 | Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9919998048 | $1.87 |
| 06-07 01:19 | Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.9299999737 | $1.06 |
| 06-07 01:18 | Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9379999561 | $1.11 |
| 06-07 01:18 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9809999965 | $2.24 |
| 05-08 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.02 |
| 05-08 02:24 | Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? | BUY | 0.9299999912 | $2.11 |
| 05-08 02:23 | Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.45 |
| 04-07 04:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.9729999968 | $2.10 |
| 04-07 02:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $299.66 |
| 04-07 02:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $299.66 |
| 04-07 02:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $262.31 |
| 04-07 02:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $299.31 |