PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x758F849bA3d8c818386cEe8717BA2318f0c3E7f9-1774109679835

0x758f849ba3d8c818386cee8717ba2318f0c3e7f9

Realised P&L
$123.90
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
336
Open portfolio
$0.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded336
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dan Hooker fight Charles Oliveira next? · Yes0.0240.006$0.81$2.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.4350.000$0.00$1.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.5210.000$0.00$2.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.5270.000$0.00$2.03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2740.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down0.4570.000$0.00$2.36
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · No0.0650.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.3260.000$0.00$9.40
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.4730.000$0.00$2.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) · Nuggets0.5480.000$0.00$2.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 12:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.299999994$5.00
09-09 11:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.0299999999$5.00
05-06 15:43FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.4199999944$30.00
05-02 13:00Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?BUY0.5$5.00
04-29 18:48Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?BUY0.3099999895$20.00
04-29 18:47Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?BUY0.4199999933$20.00
04-29 11:31Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0112598411$5.00
04-27 09:07Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.3699999272$2.73
04-27 08:45Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.5299999505$2.80
04-27 08:01Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.6799999637$2.86
04-27 07:46Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.4499999625$2.76
04-27 07:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.16$2.64
04-27 07:25Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.8299999834$3.90
04-27 07:06Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.16$2.64
04-26 21:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.4$1.83