0x758F849bA3d8c818386cEe8717BA2318f0c3E7f9-1774109679835
0x758f849ba3d8c818386cee8717ba2318f0c3e7f9
- Realised P&L
- $123.90
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $0.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.86at 0.033Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
- +$50.33at 0.090US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$42.57at 0.494Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$41.24at 0.539Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
- +$39.92at 0.462Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 11:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $5.00 |
| 05-06 15:43 | FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.4199999944 | $30.00 |
| 05-02 13:00 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 18:48 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $20.00 |
| 04-29 18:47 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 04-29 11:31 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0112598411 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 09:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999272 | $2.73 |
| 04-27 08:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $2.80 |
| 04-27 08:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $2.86 |
| 04-27 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999625 | $2.76 |
| 04-27 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $2.64 |
| 04-27 07:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $3.90 |
| 04-27 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $2.64 |
| 04-26 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.83 |