0x758EE45EdD62059EE96A5c3ecD9B5629C5beEe20-1773327585726
0x758ee45edd62059ee96a5c3ecd9b5629c5beee20
- Realised P&L
- $-374.56
- Volume
- $41.1k
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $2.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on September 25? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.84at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$51.09at 0.444Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$47.38at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$43.66at 0.133Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$40.34at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0020660242 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0030226457 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $3.51 |
| 09-25 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999909 | $13.00 |
| 09-25 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.0034652916 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 07:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $1.52 |
| 09-25 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $7.61 |
| 09-25 07:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.0021173709 | $0.18 |
| 09-25 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2347188246 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 07:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $1.47 |
| 09-25 07:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 07:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $3.67 |
| 09-25 07:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 07:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $34.42 |