Raydio
0x758e3bb16c087fd0c11a4f15c8bbc61c67edbf3f
- Realised P&L
- $75.15
- Volume
- $66.0k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.760 | 0.739 | $738.50 | −$21.50 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.884 | 0.822 | $295.92 | −$22.44 |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather | 0.620 | 0.505 | $100.99 | −$23.00 |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.890 | 0.955 | $11.52 | +$0.78 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.979 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$264.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.5kat 0.572Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$270.00at 0.730Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$210.00at 0.790US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$210.00at 0.790Will Trump visit China by June 30?
- +$180.00at 0.820Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 16:07 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.896 | $54.03 |
| 08-20 16:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $960.00 |
| 07-11 02:37 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $910.00 |
| 06-02 06:37 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.2k |
| 06-02 05:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999957 | $25.00 |
| 05-29 00:53 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 05-27 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 05-27 10:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |
| 05-27 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.8383351186 | $109.57 |
| 05-27 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7651466735 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 10:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $31.13 |
| 05-27 10:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999936 | $25.00 |
| 05-27 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $30.55 |
| 05-27 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999955 | $25.00 |
| 05-27 10:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.065 | $650.00 |