PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7588DB999FBD356E7040D4b67591155Cc18CFbC9-1768781627452

0x7588db999fbd356e7040d4b67591155cc18cfbc9

Realised P&L
$-75.07
Volume
$66.6k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$70.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0830.055$57.75$29.15
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.002$12.00$44.32
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.25$1.14
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? · No0.3000.000$0.00$3.00
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$2.08
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.25
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.1400.000$0.00$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 14:51Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.07$1.40
07-19 13:46Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.002$1.00
07-15 00:21Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.003$0.30
07-03 23:28Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.07$9.10
06-30 16:18Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.09$18.00
05-25 07:10Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$49.00
05-16 09:49Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.015$1.05
05-16 09:48Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1$10.00
05-10 23:56US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?BUY0.026999973$1.00
05-09 11:47US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?BUY0.08$1.00
05-09 06:21Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.007$7.00
05-09 06:16Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.007$3.50
05-09 06:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?SELL0.999$19.98
05-03 23:49Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.005$0.05
05-03 23:48Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.007$2.80