PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pa4ul

0x7574662bac101a9cd9a0a19716ba7443da72d2c7

Realised P&L
$-4.53
Volume
$244.55
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$44.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.810$17.49+$0.65
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3430.185$16.20−$13.80
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.715$11.00+$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 19:26Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.7799999852$16.84
10-28 19:26NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$16.83
10-28 19:22Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?BUY0.95$18.77
10-28 19:21Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?SELL0.978$18.78
10-22 16:40NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.679999988$13.63
10-22 16:32Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.459999988$10.00
10-22 16:27Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3425327819$30.00
10-21 16:49Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.8599999698$16.52
10-16 15:55Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6499999935$10.00