PolyBot

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Traders

atillaarruda

0x75639ef421bcf15915f33015e54546a506e85621

Realised P&L
$-140.21
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$415.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · No0.1760.165$251.49$17.05
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.5320.575$162.05+$12.05
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.1900.010$2.00$36.00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.5260.000$0.00$207.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 21:11Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.5299999961$30.00
09-11 09:19Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.5327983422$120.00
09-09 16:54Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.1401305265$48.54
09-07 16:36Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.1799999958$30.00
09-03 12:17Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?SELL0.331242281$215.10
09-03 12:03Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.2060340991$80.00
09-03 12:00Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.1766151402$110.00
05-13 01:32Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.510896032$29.49
05-11 16:51Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.4699999925$15.00
05-11 16:51Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.4613270424$10.00
05-06 16:44Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.425742527$5.00
05-06 16:44Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
05-06 16:44Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
05-06 16:43Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
05-06 16:42Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.4199999832$5.00