AndreaCortez6958
0x755ebd2d5d1ed1bf36870555a3ac8bb7efc37b04
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $186.0k
- Markets traded
- 187
- Open portfolio
- $286.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded187
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.980 | $255.65 | +$25.97 |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.850 | 0.790 | $23.70 | −$1.80 |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.065 | $6.50 | −$11.50 |
| Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.290 | $0.58 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down - February 18, 2AM ET
- +$226.08at 0.120Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$177.37at 0.752Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
- +$148.41at 0.690Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$119.86at 0.630Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:28 | Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $549.24 |
| 04-27 09:27 | Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $549.93 |
| 04-24 02:55 | Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $229.68 |
| 04-23 11:59 | Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.1k |
| 04-12 22:16 | Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $35.55 |
| 04-12 21:48 | Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.08 |
| 04-12 16:08 | Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.08 |
| 04-11 18:42 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Bipartisan" during NYC rally? | SELL | 0.79 | $613.04 |
| 04-11 02:16 | Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $35.55 |
| 04-11 00:56 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Bipartisan" during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.88 | $682.88 |
| 04-09 23:12 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $469.98 |
| 04-09 11:45 | Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.63 |
| 04-09 11:44 | Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.33 |
| 04-09 03:56 | Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | BUY | 0.099 | $6.34 |
| 04-08 04:58 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $440.14 |