FrenchSausage
0x754b36af5e01e56b15acc45a5b27102a0ab9d06a
- Realised P&L
- $656.50
- Volume
- $50.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,477
- Open portfolio
- $56.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,477
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.41at 0.128Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?
- +$21.90at 0.199Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?
- +$19.39at 0.097Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?
- +$17.39at 0.303Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?
- +$15.90at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.39 |
| 08-08 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.8183246618 | $7.86 |
| 08-08 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.04 |
| 08-08 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.6355363322 | $9.18 |
| 08-08 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7383160083 | $7.10 |
| 08-08 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.97 |
| 08-08 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.53 |
| 08-08 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.48 |
| 08-08 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.61 | $5.67 |
| 08-08 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.22 |
| 08-08 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.97 | $10.38 |
| 08-08 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $8.46 |
| 08-08 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.26 | $6.38 |
| 08-08 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.42 | $7.60 |