0x7544a10f82abc798b0c14c54754bbbf300c8e3ae
- Realised P&L
- $-15.5k
- Volume
- $200.3k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $277.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plovdiv 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Franco Agamenone · Radu Mihai Papoe | 0.500 | 0.725 | $311.75 | +$96.75 |
| Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yaneva · Mona Barthel | 0.496 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.77 |
| Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustino · Matej Dodig | 0.744 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$162.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.493Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo
- +$2.3kat 0.520National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubic
- +$1.7kat 0.560Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci
- +$1.3kat 0.472Hagen: Guy Den Ouden vs Alexandre Muller
- +$916.11at 0.660National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos Giron
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:54 | Plovdiv 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Franco Agamenone | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 12:23 | Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yaneva | BUY | 0.3799999723 | $5.77 |
| 08-06 12:22 | Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yaneva | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-06 10:56 | Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustino | BUY | 0.5799999627 | $2.49 |
| 08-06 10:33 | Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustino | BUY | 0.83 | $100.43 |
| 08-06 09:40 | Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustino | BUY | 0.64 | $60.00 |
| 08-06 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999989 | $74.86 |
| 08-06 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7878775274 | $11.99 |
| 08-06 08:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $24.35 |
| 08-06 08:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999973 | $43.00 |
| 08-06 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9198156682 | $49.90 |
| 08-05 22:08 | National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor | SELL | 0.999 | $262.74 |
| 08-05 22:01 | National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor | BUY | 0.89 | $234.07 |