0x75439A405289A67caF6824769f86fbCc5E16e831-1755423534961
0x75439a405289a67caf6824769f86fbcc5e16e831
- Realised P&L
- $44.43
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $22.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.972 | 0.980 | $19.59 | +$0.15 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $1.30 | −$2.10 |
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.15 |
| Will Matteo Renzi be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $0.33 | −$0.07 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.038 | $0.28 | +$0.12 |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.026 | $0.27 | −$0.04 |
| Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $0.09 | +$0.02 |
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 in July? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.22at 0.077Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
- +$7.54at 0.049Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?
- +$5.34at 0.031Will Greece recognize Palestine in 2025?
- +$4.25at 0.120Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?
- +$4.25at 0.030Will Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 11:08 | Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.98 |
| 01-14 05:53 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.972 | $9.72 |
| 01-14 05:53 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.972 | $9.72 |
| 12-04 14:21 | Vanta IPO in 2025? | SELL | 0.024 | $1.20 |
| 11-19 12:43 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.1086666667 | $3.26 |
| 11-05 13:36 | Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.60 |
| 09-16 13:56 | Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 08-25 12:15 | Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | BUY | 0.0240084049 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 11:59 | Will Paris FC win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |