0x753Bb25023530aA3A63A7737C322f06516EDF06C-1770164713864
0x753bb25023530aa3a63a7737c322f06516edf06c
- Realised P&L
- $-18.94
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $4.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.20at 0.050Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$15.75at 0.160Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$10.11at 0.090Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$-1.00at 0.007Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- +$-1.00at 0.006Knicks vs. Wizards
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 07:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 07:29 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 18:28 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31? | BUY | 0.0095890493 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 17:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 17:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 17:10 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 17:10 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 17:07 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 19:09 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.0429999606 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 19:05 | US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 19:05 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.0429999606 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 19:03 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.0299500784 | $6.00 |
| 03-07 23:19 | Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting? | BUY | 0.0480034044 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 23:18 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 23:18 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |