PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x753Bb25023530aA3A63A7737C322f06516EDF06C-1770164713864

0x753bb25023530aa3a63a7737c322f06516edf06c

Realised P&L
$-18.94
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$4.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 07:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-21 07:29US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-20 18:28Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?BUY0.0095890493$1.00
10-20 17:14Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.05$1.00
10-20 17:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-20 17:10Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?BUY0.0589999984$1.00
10-20 17:10Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-20 17:07France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
03-08 19:09Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
03-08 19:05US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
03-08 19:05 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
03-08 19:03Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.0299500784$6.00
03-07 23:19Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?BUY0.0480034044$1.00
03-07 23:18Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
03-07 23:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00