PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

thomasphillips

0x753513b4b008041a73fdb02c04e42f190640f79b

Realised P&L
$22.77
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$71.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21? · Yes0.5400.934$33.69+$14.21
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · No0.5900.575$23.52−$0.61
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%? · No0.6500.690$14.66+$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 16:08Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?BUY0.76$14.63
01-31 13:32Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January?BUY0.999$9.25
01-30 15:24Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January?BUY0.995$6.61
01-30 15:20Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$9.70
01-30 14:50Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.995$25.39
01-30 11:58Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.998$21.71
12-30 10:14Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.999$10.23
12-29 20:45Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?BUY0.999$6.55
12-29 18:58Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999718$23.32
12-29 18:50Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9969999703$31.91
10-30 23:43Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$18.50
10-30 18:02Will Solana reach $240 in October?BUY0.998$17.37
10-30 17:53Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.99$18.53
09-29 10:22Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$16.61
09-29 00:52Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$19.85