pBs1337
0x751668444fbddeddc4b54fedc54fb98249568beb
- Realised P&L
- $-32.6k
- Volume
- $2.76M
- Markets traded
- 386
- Open portfolio
- $215.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded386
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.021 | $215.00 | −$2.4k |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.608 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$719.99 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · Norway | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$840.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$830.00 |
| Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.8k |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff · Jessica Pegula | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Spread: Senegal (-1.5) · Iraq | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$839.97 |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) · Ecuador | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.2k |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.380Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$7.3kat 0.636Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$6.2kat 0.380Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?
- +$5.3kat 0.465Will England win on 2026-07-11?
- +$5.1kat 0.486Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 16:24 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.78 | $6.2k |
| 07-06 20:54 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.0k |
| 07-06 18:44 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.74 | $5.9k |
| 07-06 15:31 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.6k |
| 07-02 11:51 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.8225 | $92.59 |
| 07-01 20:03 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.0k |
| 06-29 18:37 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.2k |
| 06-29 18:35 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.51 | $2.0k |
| 06-28 16:11 | South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $840.00 |
| 06-27 21:09 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.6k |
| 06-25 13:32 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.492 | $984.00 |
| 06-25 13:31 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.379 | $1.9k |
| 06-25 12:33 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.37 | $740.00 |
| 06-25 12:25 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.0k |
| 06-24 23:43 | Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | BUY | 0.68 | $1.4k |