PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7513a73a8d6cd7d3c3368676c74179219a51241a

Realised P&L
$11.36
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$118.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9000.966$20.29+$1.39
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.5000.948$19.90+$9.40
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.936$17.78+$8.28
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7700.920$15.64+$2.55
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8800.925$11.10+$0.54
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9480.971$9.71+$0.23
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8500.915$9.15+$0.65
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8700.905$7.24+$0.28
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.8930.964$4.82+$0.35
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2300.095$1.61$2.29
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4360.087$1.40$5.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 20:26Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.282$2.26
07-04 20:56Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.87$4.35
07-02 20:52Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.948$9.48
06-26 22:02Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.9$5.40
06-24 20:36Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.87$6.96
06-22 13:27Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.91$10.92
06-20 08:42Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.061$1.22
06-19 20:00U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.9$5.40
06-13 01:18Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.459$2.75
06-06 11:30Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$3.91
05-26 01:47Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.934$5.60
05-26 01:32Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.936$7.49
05-26 01:31Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.066$1.39
05-26 01:30Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.934$4.67
05-23 23:09Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.88$10.56