0x75105db3c4eb9501B2185b6b1f5B97E17dD4AA5a-1769011518319
0x75105db3c4eb9501b2185b6b1f5b97e17dd4aa5a
- Realised P&L
- $-53.78
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $949.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $832.50 | −$33.30 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.055 | $116.89 | −$133.11 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$612.63at 0.289Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-21 16:54 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2888391637 | $248.82 |
| 01-21 16:49 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1176350643 | $250.00 |
| 01-21 16:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $500.00 |