ffffeeee
0x75105c549168b5b9abd3ec949a4579f6ab2dd70d
- Realised P&L
- $69.53
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $128.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.100 | $128.90 | −$77.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.10at 0.900Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
- +$19.88at 0.944NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
- +$18.55at 0.850Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:40 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $47.20 |
| 07-30 11:09 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $55.68 |
| 07-30 09:51 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $51.52 |
| 07-30 09:04 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.84 |
| 07-30 08:54 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $48.00 |