justbotting
0x750d094c227f46f596b7fb836ff6af6c866cf7a9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $122.3k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.966 | $492.85 | −$7.14 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 14? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.993 | $490.52 | +$6.18 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 15? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.984 | $250.89 | +$0.89 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.975 | $157.78 | −$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.26at 0.976Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$29.97at 0.980Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
- +$24.49at 0.984Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
- +$19.30at 0.953Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?
- +$16.94at 0.962Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 16:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.975 | $3.73 |
| 10-10 08:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 11? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-10 04:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $250.00 |
| 10-09 13:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 10-09 13:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $484.35 |
| 10-06 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.995 | $502.48 |
| 10-04 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.978 | $498.98 |
| 10-04 04:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.995 | $130.33 |
| 10-02 06:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.922 | $469.21 |
| 10-01 12:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.981 | $499.23 |
| 10-01 05:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 09-29 15:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.995 | $136.31 |
| 09-28 16:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9819213991 | $499.70 |
| 09-27 13:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.978 | $498.98 |
| 09-27 07:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.995 | $265.67 |