MichaelWalker9819
0x750b32534068fdf016a8e8edc6b65fec84597a65
- Realised P&L
- $33.43
- Volume
- $139.8k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $71.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.44at 0.120Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$114.26at 0.750Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
- +$103.42at 0.500Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
- +$78.75at 0.310Maduro guilty of all counts?
- +$72.49at 0.530Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 19:04 | threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $22.08 |
| 02-08 11:59 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $188.02 |
| 01-11 08:51 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division? | SELL | 0.056 | $18.48 |
| 01-11 06:50 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 01-11 06:49 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 01-11 06:48 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 01-11 06:46 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 01-11 06:44 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 01-11 04:07 | Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | SELL | 0.63 | $138.60 |
| 01-11 02:55 | Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | BUY | 0.64 | $140.80 |
| 01-11 02:14 | Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $84.05 |
| 01-11 02:14 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $598.40 |
| 01-11 02:13 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $51.00 |
| 01-11 00:54 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $657.04 |
| 01-11 00:10 | Named storm forms before hurricane season? | SELL | 0.56 | $318.08 |