PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cerg4cg5

0x74fc86c3a979842feff1283c8b1d4c509b7e0785

Realised P&L
$-8.45
Volume
$91.86
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$2.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6990.690$2.67−$0.03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.89
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$10.49
Spurs vs. Hornets · Spurs0.6200.000$0.00−$1.00
Mavericks vs. Lakers · Mavericks0.2800.000$0.00−$4.42
Magic vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.7000.000$0.00−$2.83
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$2.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 11:36Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?BUY0.7099999374$1.70
08-23 10:14Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-07 17:14US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4299999522$1.89
05-05 09:33Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.5099999769$1.99
03-06 12:12Magic vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.6999999505$2.83
03-05 08:32Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?BUY0.5299999123$2.78
02-12 17:45Mavericks vs. LakersBUY0.2799999595$4.42
02-12 17:43Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.6890285244$4.00
02-06 11:58Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.6899999564$2.53
02-06 11:54Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.2099998677$1.00
01-31 07:21Spurs vs. HornetsBUY0.6199998512$1.00
12-20 10:03Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?BUY0.469999996$10.49
11-05 17:45Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6129999998$10.09