PolyBot

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Traders

Rizk

0x74f7d7113cd4f7ccde77d29e61e9efb598d677c3

Realised P&L
$-5.2k
Volume
$137.5k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.4840.855$848.09+$368.09
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.715$357.50+$7.50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.885$221.24+$83.75
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7530.841$168.10+$17.51
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1930.075$116.54$183.46
Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.7030.695$108.72$1.28
Will Netanyahu say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.4500.415$16.60$1.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down0.2280.000$0.00$10.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5900.000$0.00$118.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.6400.000$0.00$55.00
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.6600.000$0.00$100.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.6300.000$0.00$50.00
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance · Sweden0.1200.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.5140.000$0.00$44.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 05:40Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$350.00
09-20 05:36Will Netanyahu say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.45$18.00
09-20 05:34Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.7031842253$110.00
07-07 17:03Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.4$99.00
07-06 02:53Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.179999987$10.00
07-06 02:53Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.179999987$10.00
07-06 02:51Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceSELL0.19$57.00
06-30 12:30Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?SELL0.0422540222$29.86
06-30 08:16Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.1299999979$50.00
06-30 08:16Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.1299999979$50.00
06-30 08:15Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.33$66.00
06-30 08:15Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.362563$72.51
06-30 08:13Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?SELL0.43$19.54
06-30 08:12Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?SELL0.26$19.26
06-30 08:12Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?SELL0.45$18.75