Rizk
0x74f7d7113cd4f7ccde77d29e61e9efb598d677c3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $137.5k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$628.93at 0.640Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
- +$622.02at 0.893Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?
- +$529.71at 0.625Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
- +$486.43at 0.552Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$389.83at 0.848Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 05:40 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $350.00 |
| 09-20 05:36 | Will Netanyahu say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 09-20 05:34 | Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7031842253 | $110.00 |
| 07-07 17:03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4 | $99.00 |
| 07-06 02:53 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 02:53 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 02:51 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.19 | $57.00 |
| 06-30 12:30 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.0422540222 | $29.86 |
| 06-30 08:16 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 08:16 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 08:15 | Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 06-30 08:15 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.362563 | $72.51 |
| 06-30 08:13 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.43 | $19.54 |
| 06-30 08:12 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.26 | $19.26 |
| 06-30 08:12 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.45 | $18.75 |