0x74effe760b767d41508fc813bd17fbec37786501
0x74effe760b767d41508fc813bd17fbec37786501
- Realised P&L
- $-8.29
- Volume
- $46.90
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $1.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of October 12 above $205? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.665 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.20at 0.460Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$0.50at 0.669Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?
- +$0.38at 0.806S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 11?
- +$0.34at 0.748Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?
- +$0.31at 0.767Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:35 | Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of October 12 above $205? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:16 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:58 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:46 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:54 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:47 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 04:48 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 12? | BUY | 0.619999883 | $1.59 |
| 08-11 20:45 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998943 | $1.59 |
| 08-11 11:25 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998893 | $1.59 |
| 08-11 03:22 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 11? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.59 |
| 08-11 03:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11? | BUY | 0.6499999387 | $1.59 |
| 08-10 19:15 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.59 |
| 08-10 11:09 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999035 | $1.59 |
| 08-10 03:07 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $352.50 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999045 | $1.59 |
| 08-09 19:07 | Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4499998868 | $1.59 |