shabba
0x74ee86d5cf2534b15fdcd8835ab961e7ba3cca52
- Realised P&L
- $-2.13
- Volume
- $565.62
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $156.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m? · Yes | 0.589 | 0.485 | $41.14 | −$8.86 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.950 | $30.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.945 | $25.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.043 | $16.97 | −$13.03 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.450 | $11.92 | +$1.92 |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.095 | $11.26 | +$1.26 |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.530 | $9.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 90m? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.165 | $9.49 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.40at 0.804Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
- +$8.87at 0.931Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-9.94at 0.934Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?
- +$-10.59at 0.168Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
- +$-13.46at 0.601Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:38 | Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m? | BUY | 0.5893909601 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 90m? | BUY | 0.1739130435 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | BUY | 0.0843328334 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5499999753 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 21:34 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 21:34 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0759999998 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 21:33 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.3769999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 09:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.1588877855 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 09:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | SELL | 0.8509858631 | $91.50 |
| 10-30 09:12 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $7.53 |
| 10-28 14:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $25.00 |
| 10-27 17:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | BUY | 0.9299999976 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 17:34 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.584158406 | $20.00 |
| 10-27 17:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.7920792079 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 17:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9309999995 | $100.00 |