PolyBot

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Traders

0x74d986513abe49911bb6d7af9e59040c271f7d42

0x74d986513abe49911bb6d7af9e59040c271f7d42

Realised P&L
$-1.40
Volume
$347.67
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$9.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 30? · No0.9400.945$4.72+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 28? · No0.7800.925$3.28+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 30? · Yes0.3100.100$0.50−$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 30? · Yes0.3000.080$0.40−$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 30? · Yes0.2000.150$0.31−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 30? · Yes0.2800.025$0.13−$1.27
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 30? · Yes0.1200.010$0.10−$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 30? · Yes0.2400.015$0.07−$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 28? · Yes0.0200.013$0.07−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 30? · Yes0.0700.010$0.05−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on September 30? · Yes0.1700.010$0.05−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 28? · Yes0.0300.004$0.02−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on September 30? · Yes0.0200.001$0.01−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 28? · Yes0.4400.001$0.00−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28? · Yes0.0600.001$0.00−$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:55Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.8$4.00
09-28 10:55Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.23$1.15
09-28 10:55Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.23$1.15
09-28 10:10Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 30?BUY0.34$1.31
09-28 09:47Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.27$1.04
09-28 09:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.44$2.20
09-28 09:21Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.81$3.11
09-28 09:21Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.81$3.11
09-28 08:16Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.76$3.80
09-28 08:16Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.76$3.80
09-28 08:03Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.97$4.85
09-28 07:54Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 30?BUY0.94$4.70
09-28 07:54Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 30?BUY0.94$4.70
09-28 07:39Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?BUY0.27$1.35
09-28 07:24Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?BUY0.96$4.80