0x74d986513abe49911bb6d7af9e59040c271f7d42
0x74d986513abe49911bb6d7af9e59040c271f7d42
- Realised P&L
- $-1.40
- Volume
- $347.67
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $9.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.50at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?
- +$3.71at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30?
- +$2.45at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
- +$2.35at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?
- +$2.20at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-28 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-28 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-28 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.31 |
| 09-28 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.04 |
| 09-28 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-28 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.11 |
| 09-28 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.11 |
| 09-28 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-28 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-28 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-28 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-28 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-28 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 09-28 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |