Tiempie
0x74d87f704897a94b12e5eeb0aae5e753af67641e
- Realised P&L
- $-188.38
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 385
- Open portfolio
- $4.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded385
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.028 | $2.75 | +$0.55 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.180 | $0.90 | −$1.00 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.043 | $0.43 | −$1.56 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1PM ET · Up | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.15 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.39at 0.642Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$11.81at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1PM ET
- +$11.23at 0.720Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
- +$10.18at 0.678Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$8.04at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.35 |
| 09-03 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $6.70 |
| 09-03 21:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $7.80 |
| 09-03 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $22.20 |
| 09-03 21:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-03 21:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-03 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 20:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.58 |
| 08-28 20:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.9488028169 | $5.39 |