t6yhdefgd
0x74c8c0f880a1e0d93fcb791dfea33c53a731d018
- Realised P&L
- $-8.81
- Volume
- $48.0k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $586.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.560 | $586.88 | +$272.48 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Up | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026? · No | 0.453 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$960.00at 0.680Mavericks vs. Suns
- +$733.15at 0.690Knicks vs. Bucks
- +$704.00at 0.680Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
- +$435.00at 0.710Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?
- +$24.54at 0.410Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 08:00 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $95.40 |
| 06-27 08:48 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $11.20 |
| 06-27 08:47 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $26.40 |
| 05-22 09:20 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.157 | $50.24 |
| 05-22 09:19 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.157 | $47.10 |
| 05-22 09:19 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.157 | $44.74 |
| 04-30 01:25 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.546 | $303.60 |
| 04-17 07:24 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4275070142 | $90.20 |
| 04-01 09:07 | Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $359.92 |
| 03-28 06:53 | Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $335.38 |
| 03-19 11:04 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.618 | $0.08 |
| 03-04 13:00 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.57 | $40.08 |
| 03-04 01:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 02-26 02:49 | Knicks vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.69 | $345.00 |
| 01-27 01:20 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.5k |