PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

t6yhdefgd

0x74c8c0f880a1e0d93fcb791dfea33c53a731d018

Realised P&L
$-8.81
Volume
$48.0k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$586.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.3000.560$586.88+$272.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.7400.000$0.00$37.00
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026? · No0.4530.000$0.00$2.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 08:00Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?SELL0.3$95.40
06-27 08:48Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.08$11.20
06-27 08:47Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.08$26.40
05-22 09:20Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.157$50.24
05-22 09:19Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.157$47.10
05-22 09:19Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.157$44.74
04-30 01:25Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?SELL0.546$303.60
04-17 07:24Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.4275070142$90.20
04-01 09:07Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?SELL0.44$359.92
03-28 06:53Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.41$335.38
03-19 11:04Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.618$0.08
03-04 13:00Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.57$40.08
03-04 01:19Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.41$82.00
02-26 02:49Knicks vs. BucksBUY0.69$345.00
01-27 01:20Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?BUY0.68$1.5k