Ironwoodkk
0x74c2fb97c4cfb956132ee089bdfe4f6b26205260
- Realised P&L
- $-90.31
- Volume
- $133.6k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $7.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss vs. Troy · Troy | 0.770 | 0.775 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| New Mexico State vs. Florida International · New Mexico State | 0.380 | 0.335 | $2.64 | −$0.36 |
| Spread: Magic (-8.5) · Magic | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) · Jazz | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) · Warriors | 0.568 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i · Hawai'i | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) · Magic | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) · Heat | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| Spread: Lakers (-7.5) · Mavericks | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5 · Over | 0.367 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$248.00 |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) · Clippers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$748.38 |
| Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage · Benched gods | 0.663 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.470Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5
- +$2.9kat 0.510Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5
- +$2.5kat 0.500Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5
- +$2.3kat 0.510Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
- +$1.1kat 0.540Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:21 | New Mexico State vs. Florida International | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 06:09 | Southern Miss vs. Troy | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 13:07 | Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage | BUY | 0.6633663351 | $50.00 |
| 06-09 08:39 | Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 06-09 08:34 | HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 08:30 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $4.00 |
| 05-25 21:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $15.00 |
| 05-25 21:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5407499315 | $50.00 |
| 05-25 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 05-25 21:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $40.80 |
| 05-25 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $30.00 |
| 05-25 21:02 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5 | BUY | 0.6599999989 | $200.00 |
| 05-16 09:36 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 09:36 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |