vad777
0x74bac6f84c76a70e55bec9109910cb24d0bf8c7c
- Realised P&L
- $-10.22
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $23.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.82at 0.340Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?
- +$7.10at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12PM ET
- +$6.60at 0.340Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
- +$6.13at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$5.80at 0.420Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 13:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 18:14 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 06:49 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 05-23 14:08 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 05-09 08:04 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 04-29 10:16 | Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 04-29 10:15 | Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 04-29 10:15 | Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 04-26 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $2.98 |
| 04-26 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0788574361 | $8.67 |
| 04-25 17:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $9.37 |
| 04-21 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $9.45 |
| 04-06 14:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 12? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.95 |
| 04-06 12:01 | Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 03-22 16:35 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.109 | $8.38 |