nickchiquito
0x74bac2eedd350b4ec5dcb457e2285d899e8c9fc5
- Realised P&L
- $13.21
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $149.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.968 | $52.24 | +$1.49 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · No | 0.970 | 0.973 | $38.90 | +$0.10 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.944 | 0.921 | $26.72 | −$0.67 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.953 | 0.954 | $26.70 | +$0.01 |
| Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.979 | 0.980 | $4.95 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.65at 0.935Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
- +$1.84at 0.920Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$1.76at 0.931Anthropic acquired before 2027?
- +$1.30at 0.940Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.01at 0.982Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 08:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $21.14 |