nickchiquito
0x74bac2eedd350b4ec5dcb457e2285d899e8c9fc5
- Realised P&L
- $14.64
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $161.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat? · No | 0.976 | 0.983 | $60.39 | +$0.43 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · No | 0.970 | 0.967 | $51.22 | −$0.19 |
| Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.979 | 0.980 | $49.95 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.65at 0.935Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
- +$1.84at 0.920Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$1.84at 0.940Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
- +$1.76at 0.931Anthropic acquired before 2027?
- +$1.30at 0.940Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 08:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $21.14 |