Ruperth
0x74b957edda7906f9494c1d7390034d102ad1ac3e
- Realised P&L
- $-74.58
- Volume
- $31.1k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $1.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.006 | $1.79 | −$198.96 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.64 |
| Ravens vs. Bills · Ravens | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.70 |
| Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · No | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.71 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.50 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.92 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.35 |
| Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 235.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$447.30at 0.500Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$300.32at 0.500Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$285.11at 0.500Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$271.41at 0.500Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
- +$249.02at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 08:07 | Ravens vs. Bills | BUY | 0.38 | $24.70 |
| 10-28 06:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.73 | $200.75 |
| 10-26 11:31 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.46 |
| 10-26 11:31 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.994 | $489.05 |
| 10-26 11:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $30.73 |
| 10-26 11:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $458.77 |
| 10-26 11:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | SELL | 0.996 | $25.15 |
| 10-26 11:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $265.00 |
| 10-26 11:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | SELL | 0.996 | $224.10 |
| 10-26 11:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $225.00 |
| 10-26 11:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | SELL | 0.996 | $249.25 |
| 10-26 11:29 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.012 | $6.14 |
| 10-26 11:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9969999988 | $212.00 |
| 10-26 11:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.987 | $126.34 |
| 10-26 11:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $287.00 |