0xc3eC9Bc2cb0d6f8408Bb107BA4c126be13042055-1775797851426
0x74b7bddceb1158c10f83e1b7562ca1f99ca0ce5a
- Realised P&L
- $-198.20
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 330
- Open portfolio
- $97.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded330
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.54at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$80.64at 0.113Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$80.55at 0.113Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?
- +$78.37at 0.164Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$74.46at 0.282Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3731856275 | $15.00 |
| 08-19 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.3137254902 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.96 | $27.43 |
| 08-16 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.3168316832 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.110850051 | $6.52 |
| 08-16 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.0523611111 | $1.51 |
| 08-16 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.1735608643 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |
| 08-15 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.52 |
| 08-14 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |