PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc3eC9Bc2cb0d6f8408Bb107BA4c126be13042055-1775797851426

0x74b7bddceb1158c10f83e1b7562ca1f99ca0ce5a

Realised P&L
$-198.20
Volume
$27.9k
Markets traded
330
Open portfolio
$97.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded330
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0900.115$31.94+$6.94
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.205$20.50+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 27? · Yes0.3730.445$17.89+$2.89
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2200.195$17.73−$2.27
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1900.125$6.58−$3.42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2110.123$2.93−$2.07
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0310.002$0.24−$4.76
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$20.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.5200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 6? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 14:17Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.3731856275$15.00
08-19 15:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 20?BUY0.25$10.00
08-19 15:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 20?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
08-17 06:02Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?BUY0.3137254902$10.00
08-17 06:01Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?BUY0.3699999887$20.00
08-17 02:10Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?SELL0.96$27.43
08-16 14:23Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 17?BUY0.3168316832$10.00
08-16 14:22Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 17?SELL0.110850051$6.52
08-16 11:40Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 17?SELL0.0523611111$1.51
08-16 10:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
08-16 03:33Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 17?BUY0.1735608643$5.00
08-16 03:33Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 17?BUY0.3399999912$20.00
08-15 08:59Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?SELL0.98$1.52
08-14 17:01Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 16?BUY0.189999988$10.00
08-14 17:01Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 16?BUY0.2699999904$20.00