vfhfgyjdf
0x74b65fcb1465a6f94ace8ce7fba646444fc8e58c
- Realised P&L
- $-38.62
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $58.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October? · No | 0.986 | 0.977 | $58.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.13at 0.580Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$26.98at 0.550Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?
- +$20.92at 0.350Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.18at 0.680Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?
- +$2.36at 0.770Will Solana reach $175 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 03:55 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October? | BUY | 0.9864983902 | $59.00 |
| 09-11 12:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $59.00 |
| 08-22 06:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9939999968 | $59.00 |
| 08-22 06:44 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | SELL | 0.7572961308 | $59.30 |
| 08-15 09:18 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $78.00 |
| 07-07 10:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $78.00 |
| 06-29 13:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | BUY | 0.998999961 | $25.00 |
| 06-29 13:34 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.4470724138 | $25.93 |
| 06-29 08:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $51.00 |
| 06-13 10:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.9970225211 | $51.00 |
| 06-07 13:11 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.00 |
| 05-19 04:49 | Will Solana reach $110 in May? | BUY | 0.9769999993 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 03:32 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.99 | $37.00 |
| 05-06 03:28 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.00 |
| 05-06 03:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9939999912 | $31.00 |