PolyBot

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Traders

ciprovo

0x74a80880a807b107b433e651dc25018f441904a9

Realised P&L
$395.58
Volume
$37.8k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$232.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? · Yes0.1240.065$76.72$69.20
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1880.185$41.10$0.65
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.150$39.00$13.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.2800.155$29.45$23.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes0.6400.345$23.98$20.51
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0520.056$22.10+$1.43
Starmer out by June 26, 2026? · No0.2000.000$0.00$24.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · No0.0150.000$0.00$16.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$0.49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$3.20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$50.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · Yes0.2220.000$0.00$24.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$17.00
Will England win on 2026-07-01? · No0.5900.000$0.00$12.39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? · No0.0700.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.64$30.08
09-16 23:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.28$53.20
09-15 15:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?SELL0.2594703278$18.76
09-15 15:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?SELL0.47$75.88
09-15 15:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?SELL0.947$151.62
09-11 06:54Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?BUY0.19$39.27
09-10 15:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.32$51.20
09-10 15:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.1715284272$12.40
09-09 11:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.28$28.00
09-09 11:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.268$16.11
09-08 07:03Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.052$19.10
09-08 07:02Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.051$1.58
09-04 15:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.57$117.99
09-04 14:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.28$50.40
09-04 14:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.26$2.00