t06naaaaat
0x74a7628a3b8392ff76e97a5862ef8ec6a51ef0d1
- Realised P&L
- $432.27
- Volume
- $22.4k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $26.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta (META) Up or Down on September 22? · Up | 0.814 | 0.210 | $26.49 | −$76.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 2? · Down | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? · Down | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 18? · Down | 0.725 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.20at 0.738Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$30.13at 0.757Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 9?
- +$29.28at 0.733Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$23.24at 0.794Meta (META) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$22.66at 0.762Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:09 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.8137368261 | $102.64 |
| 09-22 16:09 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $103.48 |
| 09-21 19:45 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.878506966 | $91.00 |
| 09-21 19:30 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21? | SELL | 0.998 | $91.13 |
| 09-21 15:57 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.876050109 | $80.00 |
| 09-18 15:53 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.8450456052 | $84.00 |
| 09-17 20:00 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $84.89 |
| 09-17 16:54 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.8199999988 | $69.68 |
| 09-16 20:07 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $129.18 |
| 09-16 16:43 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.8499999992 | $109.92 |
| 09-15 19:57 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.9955226412 | $110.36 |
| 09-15 16:19 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.9199999996 | $102.00 |
| 09-15 14:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $102.75 |
| 09-14 20:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8784665853 | $92.87 |
| 09-14 16:13 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.8519122254 | $79.00 |