ambrua
0x74a4e6aff3c042d96ca8d53271bd7271391008dc
- Realised P&L
- $-47.41
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $20.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.64at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$6.17at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$5.45at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$3.48at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$3.47at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:42 | Will Aitana Bonmati win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0022432996 | $1.14 |
| 10-02 18:04 | Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.97 |
| 10-02 18:04 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8753135014 | $5.96 |
| 10-02 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2999999937 | $4.76 |
| 10-02 12:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:59 | Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 09:18 | ZCash Up or Down - October 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 11:32 | Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-30 10:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999451 | $2.60 |
| 09-30 10:47 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:33 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 12:32 | Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:31 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.26 |