PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ambrua

0x74a4e6aff3c042d96ca8d53271bd7271391008dc

Realised P&L
$-47.41
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$20.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0400.057$7.50+$2.24
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.8751.000$6.81+$0.85
Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · Yes0.9000.740$4.09−$0.88
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? · No0.2600.230$1.15−$0.15
Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028? · No0.1500.077$0.52−$0.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.0150.000$0.00−$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Aitana Bonmati win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$5.00
ZCash Up or Down - October 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down0.5790.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 00:42Will Aitana Bonmati win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0022432996$1.14
10-02 18:04Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?BUY0.9$4.97
10-02 18:04Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8753135014$5.96
10-02 17:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.2999999937$4.76
10-02 12:05Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.001$1.00
10-02 09:59Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-02 09:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.12$1.05
10-01 09:18ZCash Up or Down - October 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.1$1.00
09-30 12:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-30 11:32Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?BUY0.26$1.30
09-30 10:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.4199999451$2.60
09-30 10:47Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.04$1.00
09-30 10:33Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.04$2.00
09-29 12:32Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by September 30?BUY0.05$1.00
09-29 12:31Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.04$2.26