Ald1992
0x74a2428dd477cbba40366b7ffcb04f6874dbac01
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) · Timberwolves | 0.521 | 0.001 | $2.54 | −$2.7k |
| Shiga Lakestars vs. Shinshu Brave Warriors · Shinshu Brave Warriors | 0.411 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.85 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors · Lakers | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg · Basketball Loewen Braunschweig | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.92 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$127.40 |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) · Lakers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$510.87 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) · Lakers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$209.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$754.15at 0.494Mavericks vs. Rockets
- +$309.00at 0.378Bulls vs. Nuggets
- +$94.43at 0.402Celtics vs. Cavaliers
- +$58.15at 0.504Pelicans vs. Heat
- +$40.78at 0.682Lakers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:00 | Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5213904677 | $2.7k |
| 10-14 03:18 | Spread: Lakers (-10.5) | BUY | 0.4395010264 | $510.87 |
| 10-14 03:16 | Warriors vs. Lakers | SELL | 0.2120989854 | $542.71 |
| 10-14 02:52 | Warriors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.4982022542 | $1.3k |
| 10-12 04:50 | Shiga Lakestars vs. Shinshu Brave Warriors | BUY | 0.4113328806 | $86.85 |
| 10-12 02:34 | Bulls vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.359999999 | $56.00 |
| 10-12 02:34 | Spread: Nuggets (-8.5) | SELL | 0.1003511941 | $60.01 |
| 10-12 02:33 | Bulls vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.3699999996 | $126.40 |
| 10-12 01:01 | Spread: Nuggets (-8.5) | BUY | 0.4685868804 | $280.20 |
| 10-11 13:45 | Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg | BUY | 0.4399999968 | $48.92 |
| 10-11 12:48 | Mavericks vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 10-11 09:54 | Mavericks vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.4817877124 | $719.94 |
| 10-10 02:28 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces | SELL | 0.21 | $100.89 |
| 10-10 01:32 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.3699999996 | $177.76 |
| 10-09 02:21 | Spread: Lakers (-12.5) | BUY | 0.4599999991 | $209.54 |