0x7498735870f6d29a7206646e12542ecfe1ba81d5
0x7498735870f6d29a7206646e12542ecfe1ba81d5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.15
- Volume
- $176.76
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $2.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.865 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.325 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.325 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.02at 0.289Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
- +$3.04at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.55at 0.389Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.07at 0.440SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:59 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:29 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999836 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 02:28 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999809 | $1.59 |
| 09-19 04:57 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099998542 | $1.59 |
| 09-16 10:35 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999881 | $1.59 |
| 09-16 02:34 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7799999902 | $1.59 |
| 09-10 22:33 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.59 |
| 09-10 13:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.59 |
| 09-10 04:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6799999472 | $1.03 |
| 09-09 19:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099999877 | $1.49 |