winwinwinx100000
0x748b0255bf1b787d57b279e1d7de87ca16047070
- Realised P&L
- $-46.23
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 328
- Open portfolio
- $22.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded328
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.485 | $11.64 | +$5.64 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.505 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.465 | 0.380 | $4.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.485 | $1.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.49at 0.442Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$6.36at 0.440Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)
- +$6.14at 0.765Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$5.83at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$5.24at 0.688Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 15:34 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 15:34 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 10:49 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4649999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 15:48 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0188679245 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:39 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 10:51 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 07:17 | Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:51 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:48 | Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.19 |
| 09-19 14:45 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:58 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:56 | Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:55 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 13:54 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:47 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |