PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Avivtel

0x7489e437bd44d74aee5209d8d214125ba3794c80

Realised P&L
$157.29
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$18.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.4440.405$17.70$1.69
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7800.890$1.14+$0.14
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5600.000$0.00$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.3960.000$0.00$15.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$3.00
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$5.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 13:03Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?SELL0.18$2.98
09-11 19:20Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-09-11?BUY0.3725490094$5.00
09-07 14:40Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
09-07 14:39Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.4215686072$10.00
08-29 18:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-29 18:09Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-26 09:19Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.67$61.84
08-23 22:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSELL0.36$5.14
08-23 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.3499999615$5.00
08-23 18:35Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6499999984$60.00
08-12 11:58Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.4047618058$58.46
08-09 11:17Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.3461918857$50.00
07-18 22:58Will England win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.933$205.89
07-18 22:16Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.891999997$196.85
07-14 18:35France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.56$70.00