0x74894e522d1646e570fa5006f54213d47b0d23d4
- Realised P&L
- $-58.15
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $7.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $7.50 | −$12.50 |
| Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.22at 0.540Will Solana reach $130 January 26-1?
- +$38.25at 0.535Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 30?
- +$24.70at 0.737US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$22.10at 0.499Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 21?
- +$21.14at 0.510Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.4 | $19.51 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.66 | $21.29 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $59.70 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $20.55 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0089095509 | $7.99 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.98 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.949 | $100.52 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.982 | $19.66 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.3355070663 | $43.21 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | SELL | 0.960323168 | $21.10 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5593323762 | $38.96 |
| 03-02 17:39 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.63 | $20.37 |
| 02-21 00:34 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6184538356 | $20.00 |
| 02-20 23:29 | Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.0313059681 | $14.69 |
| 02-13 15:19 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5785016724 | $20.00 |