PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x74894e522d1646e570fa5006f54213d47b0d23d4

Realised P&L
$-58.15
Volume
$20.4k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$7.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$7.50$12.50
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-02 17:39Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.4$19.51
03-02 17:39Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?SELL0.66$21.29
03-02 17:39Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.994$59.70
03-02 17:39Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.37$20.55
03-02 17:39Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.0089095509$7.99
03-02 17:39Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.998$19.98
03-02 17:39Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.949$100.52
03-02 17:39Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.982$19.66
03-02 17:39Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.3355070663$43.21
03-02 17:39Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?SELL0.960323168$21.10
03-02 17:39Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.5593323762$38.96
03-02 17:39Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.63$20.37
02-21 00:34Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.6184538356$20.00
02-20 23:29Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.0313059681$14.69
02-13 15:19Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.5785016724$20.00