PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gg.goty

0x7484cc78efa26518499088e4742fd9bbfc21ce15

Realised P&L
$490.09
Volume
$19.9k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$336.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · No0.9390.939$200.00+$0.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8480.864$50.91+$0.91
Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · No0.8960.896$50.03+$0.03
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.7100.415$29.23−$20.77
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1540.074$4.85−$5.15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4800.045$1.87−$18.13
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? · No0.1550.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5930.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00−$20.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$150.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$50.00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 18:49Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8479999878$50.00
10-07 18:48Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.8959999994$50.00
10-07 18:47Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.9389999997$200.00
08-19 23:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
08-19 23:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-19 21:57Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.935$160.51
07-19 19:09Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5824999943$100.00
07-05 21:39Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
07-05 20:52Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
07-05 20:20Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?SELL0.54$91.05
07-05 20:13Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5199999983$100.00
07-05 20:10Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.689999999$100.00
07-03 20:17Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.86$150.00
06-30 15:22Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.1549999921$15.00
06-30 15:10Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.9$100.00