yanghy
0x747699653f54a091dc768eb653c70626c822c704
- Realised P&L
- $-55.55
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $120.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 October 5-11? · No | 0.999 | 0.990 | $120.78 | −$1.10 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.85at 0.964Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
- +$0.85at 0.990Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
- +$0.84at 0.992Will xAI’s Grok 4 lose the NOF1.ai competition?
- +$0.80at 0.993Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- +$0.73at 0.992Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 12:29 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.88 |
| 09-28 09:03 | Will XRP reach $2.20 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $121.63 |
| 08-26 08:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $121.02 |
| 08-07 10:46 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-07 10:44 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-10 10:52 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of July 6 above $225? | BUY | 0.999 | $118.88 |
| 06-24 12:49 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $118.17 |
| 06-15 12:40 | Will XRP dip to $0.50 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 06-09 10:52 | Will Solana dip to $20 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.88 |
| 05-27 07:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $117.76 |
| 05-16 01:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $117.76 |
| 05-01 01:31 | Will Google (GOOGL) close at $335-$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1? | BUY | 0.9989872881 | $117.88 |
| 04-09 07:51 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $116.23 |
| 03-23 03:07 | Will Google reach $420 in March? | BUY | 0.997 | $115.65 |
| 03-20 07:57 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $115.88 |