0x7469631cDA54EA538d414bA58C0Fd519670e3A0C-1733306658696
0x7469631cda54ea538d414ba58c0fd519670e3a0c
- Realised P&L
- $13.66
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $23.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21? · No | 0.998 | 0.992 | $23.84 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.57at 0.920Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
- +$0.35at 0.996Will Marquette win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
- +$0.23at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.997Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$0.20at 0.994Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 16:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.00 |
| 10-19 04:22 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.00 |
| 10-15 18:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $43.20 |
| 10-13 16:21 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.00 |
| 10-13 07:53 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $43.40 |
| 10-10 15:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 23:56 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $48.90 |
| 10-04 03:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9969999441 | $12.00 |
| 10-04 02:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.50 |
| 09-30 01:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9947074381 | $17.00 |
| 09-28 15:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.995 | $11.00 |
| 09-25 19:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9969999969 | $46.40 |
| 09-24 05:09 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.00 |
| 09-20 22:24 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $27.60 |
| 09-20 00:55 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9959999976 | $15.00 |