btmx6
0x74692bbae173bfe318cba2606e319a5685cca5f0
- Realised P&L
- $-201.6k
- Volume
- $408.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $85.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-49.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.181 | 0.185 | $78.44 | +$1.54 |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch? · No | 0.115 | 0.078 | $7.41 | −$3.55 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · No | 0.566 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.3k |
| Bengals vs. Steelers · Bengals | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.9k |
| Titans vs. Giants · Titans | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-866.74at 0.442Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 14:03 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1154210526 | $10.96 |
| 09-29 14:02 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1813740242 | $76.90 |
| 09-27 15:46 | Titans vs. Giants | BUY | 0.44 | $25.0k |
| 09-27 13:40 | Bengals vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.61 | $51.7k |
| 09-26 07:30 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.55 | $19.2k |
| 09-25 19:59 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.58 | $47.3k |
| 09-25 14:54 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.0k |
| 09-25 14:49 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.6k |
| 09-25 13:20 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.7k |
| 09-25 13:20 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.43 | $9.1k |